Seeking the future - cause and effect

There is gradual increasing interest in futures. Not the stockmarket type. But thinking and analysis about what the future might be, what it might bring, especially negative effects so one can take the necessary actions to prevent or to soften the inevitable impact.

Initially, I was very puzzled and perturbed. How does one think and discuss what has not come, especially for longer term strategic issues?

I thought about this and rationalised my understanding this way. It is like weather forecasting. There is randomness in cloud movements but within the randomness, there is a pattern and it conforms to a cause and effect principle.

An action here and there today will lead to a consequence days later or years later, and some actions or people have more impact than others.

The consequence of climate change we experience today is also no accident. It is the very culmination of all of human kind, from governments to individuals, from years back to the global warming we see today.

So it is possible to spot trends, possibilities and what-ifs because the future is happening right now.